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Virginia Prepares to Elect First Female Governor as Spanberger Maintains Polling Lead Over Earle-Sears

by Danielle Sherman
November 4, 2025
in National, Politics
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Virginia Prepares to Elect First Female Governor as Spanberger Maintains Polling Lead Over Earle-Sears
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Virginia will inaugurate its first female governor following Tuesday’s historic election.

Democratic candidate Abigail Spanberger, former Congresswoman representing Virginia’s 7th District, has sustained advantages in multiple polls against Republican Lieutenant Governor Winsome Earle-Sears. Spanberger is also outspending Earle-Sears by a seven-to-one margin.

Spanberger has secured endorsement from the Virginia Police Benevolent Association, which represents nearly 11,000 law enforcement officers. The nonprofit nonpartisan organization cited Spanberger’s bipartisan congressional record during her three terms, her professional law enforcement background, and her consistent votes increasing funding for local police departments and sheriff’s offices.

She has also obtained backing from former President Barack Obama, who campaigned for Spanberger over the weekend.

Earle-Sears has also secured law enforcement support. The Virginia Beach Police Benevolent Association has endorsed the Republican nominee. Fifty individual sheriff endorsements are also listed on Earle-Sears’ campaign website.

President Donald Trump has expressed support for Earle-Sears, but has never formally endorsed her candidacy.

“I think the Republican candidate is very good, and I think she should win because the Democrat candidate is a disaster,” Trump told reporters on October 21.

The candidates faced off in only one debate before election day, which featured regular interruptions and contentious exchanges.

During the debate, the candidates were questioned on various issues.

On education, Earle-Sears stated she supports allowing parents greater input in curriculum decisions. She then criticized Spanberger’s recent education votes.

Spanberger indicated she also agreed that parents should participate in the process, and criticized Earle-Sears for “taking public dollars out of public schools.”

Transgender bathroom policies have also been a prominent topic throughout the campaign.

Republican Lieutenant Governor Winsome Earle-Sears has clearly stated her opposition to biologically male students using female private facilities at school and competing in women’s sports.

Spanberger has been more circumspect regarding her position on the subject.

“I’m a mother of three daughters in Virginia Public Schools, and nothing is more important to me than their safety and their areas in schools. I’m also a former federal agent, and I worked to investigate crimes against children, and so nothing is more important to me than the safety of all of our children,” the Democrat stated during the debate.

The moderator then requested clarity on her position.

“In cases across Virginia, I think it’s incumbent upon parents and educators and administrators in each local community to make decisions locally,” Spanberger added.

“What I’m saying is just very plain common sense, and I’m going to answer the question my opponent refused to answer, which is simply this; I will not rescind the Governor’s executive order. We know that girls want to have privacy. It’s really that simple, and my opponent will not answer the question,” Earle-Sears stated in her rebuttal.

The first female governor milestone representing significant achievement in Virginia’s political history, with the Commonwealth that produced eight U.S. presidents finally electing a woman to its highest state office demonstrating gradual if belated progress toward gender equity in political leadership more than a century after women gained voting rights.

Abigail Spanberger’s congressional experience providing governance credentials, with her three terms representing Virginia’s competitive 7th District demonstrating electoral success in swing territory that includes both suburban Richmond areas and rural counties requiring candidates to appeal across ideological and geographic divides that translate well to statewide campaigns.

The sustained polling advantages suggesting Spanberger enters election day as favorite, with her consistent leads across multiple surveys indicating momentum that incumbent Lieutenant Governor Earle-Sears has been unable to reverse despite the Republican’s higher profile serving in statewide office compared to Spanberger’s House seat.

The seven-to-one spending advantage demonstrating fundraising dominance, with Spanberger’s financial superiority enabling television advertising saturation, extensive field operations, and digital outreach that Earle-Sears cannot match creating asymmetric campaign capabilities that typically correlate with electoral success though money alone cannot guarantee victory.

The Virginia Police Benevolent Association endorsement providing crucial law enforcement credibility, with the nearly 11,000-member organization’s backing neutralizing Republican attempts to portray Spanberger as soft on crime while the endorsement’s bipartisan framing emphasizes her cross-party appeal rather than simply being default Democratic candidate.

The nonprofit nonpartisan organizational characterization lending endorsement legitimacy, with the police association’s institutional neutrality making their Spanberger backing more meaningful than if a partisan law enforcement group simply supported their ideological ally creating impression that professional evaluation rather than political preference drove the endorsement decision.

The bipartisan congressional record emphasis highlighting Spanberger’s centrist positioning, with her three-term service including votes that angered progressive Democrats while appealing to moderate Republicans demonstrating the pragmatic governing approach that Virginia voters in purple state often prefer over ideological rigidity.

The professional law enforcement background referring to Spanberger’s CIA career, with her intelligence agency service providing national security credentials that differentiate her from typical politicians while her “former federal agent” description evokes law-and-order associations that Democrats typically struggle projecting compared to Republican candidates.

The consistent police funding votes addressing Democratic vulnerability on crime, with Spanberger’s record supporting increased law enforcement budgets providing concrete evidence countering Republican attacks portraying Democrats as anti-police following the “defund the police” movement that damaged Democratic candidates nationwide.

Barack Obama’s campaign appearance demonstrating Democratic establishment support, with the former president’s continued popularity among Democratic base voters and moderate independents making his weekend rallies valuable for energizing turnout while his Virginia campaigning suggests Democratic Party views the race as winnable and worth investing presidential political capital.

Earle-Sears’ Virginia Beach Police Benevolent Association endorsement providing local law enforcement credibility, with the regional organization’s backing offering some counterweight to Spanberger’s statewide police association endorsement though the smaller membership base and geographic limitation reduce the endorsement’s statewide impact.

The fifty individual sheriff endorsements listed on campaign website demonstrating rural law enforcement support, with county sheriffs’ backing particularly valuable in Virginia’s conservative counties where Republican candidates traditionally dominate and local elected officials’ endorsements carry substantial weight among voters who know and trust these community figures.

President Trump’s expressed but not formal support creating ambiguous relationship, with Trump’s positive comments about Earle-Sears providing some MAGA credibility while his refusal to offer official endorsement potentially reflecting either strategic calculation that formal backing might hurt in moderate Virginia or dissatisfaction with Earle-Sears’ campaign performance.

The “Republican candidate is very good” and “Democrat candidate is a disaster” characterization representing typical Trump rhetoric, with the blunt assessment attempting to energize Republican voters while the lack of Earle-Sears name usage and tepid “should win” phrasing suggesting less enthusiastic support than Trump’s full-throated endorsements of preferred candidates.

The single debate limiting direct comparison opportunities, with only one face-to-face encounter preventing voters from observing candidates under pressure across multiple forums while the limited debate schedule potentially benefiting Spanberger by reducing opportunities for Earle-Sears to challenge the frontrunner and shift campaign dynamics.

The regular interruptions and contentious exchanges demonstrating hostile dynamic, with the debate’s confrontational tone reflecting deep policy disagreements and personal animosity that modern campaigns often feature where candidates view opponents as enemies rather than honorable adversaries requiring civil discourse.

The education issue featuring parental curriculum input debate, with both candidates claiming to support parental involvement but defining it differently where Earle-Sears emphasizes parental authority overriding professional educators while Spanberger advocates parental participation within collaborative decision-making frameworks.

The “taking public dollars out of public schools” accusation targeting school choice, with Spanberger’s attack line criticizing Republican support for voucher programs and charter school funding that redirects taxpayer money from traditional public schools to alternative educational options that Democrats argue weakens public education.

The transgender bathroom policies prominence reflecting culture war emphasis, with the issue’s campaign centrality demonstrating how Republicans nationwide have seized on transgender rights as wedge issue believing that opposing trans-inclusive policies resonates with moderate voters uncomfortable with rapid social changes.

Earle-Sears’ clear opposition to transgender bathroom access and sports participation articulating traditional Republican position, with her unambiguous stance appealing to conservative base voters and parents concerned about biological males in female spaces while risking alienating moderate voters who prioritize LGBTQ+ rights.

Spanberger’s circumspect response avoiding direct position statement, with her answer pivoting to child safety credentials without addressing whether she supports or opposes transgender students using facilities matching their gender identity demonstrating calculated political strategy avoiding firm stance that would antagonize either progressive activists or moderate parents.

The “mother of three daughters” and “former federal agent” credentials emphasizing personal experience, with Spanberger’s biographical details attempting to establish authority on child safety issues while deflecting from substantive policy position that would require either supporting transgender access antagonizing moderates or opposing it antagonizing progressives.

The local decision-making framework advocating decentralized authority, with Spanberger’s position that “parents and educators and administrators in each local community” should decide the issue effectively punting responsibility to school boards avoiding gubernatorial leadership while respecting Virginia’s tradition of local control.

The “refused to answer the question” attack capturing debate dynamics, with Earle-Sears’ critique highlighting Spanberger’s evasive response while positioning herself as direct truth-teller willing to take clear positions even when controversial demonstrating contrasting campaign styles.

The executive order preservation pledge referencing current Republican Governor Glenn Youngkin’s policy, with Earle-Sears’ commitment not to rescind the directive requiring biological sex-based bathroom usage providing concrete policy position that Spanberger’s ambiguous stance avoided offering voters clear choice.


Tags: Abigail Spanberger polling lead Winsome Earle-SearsBarack Obama campaign appearancebipartisan congressional recordDemocratic Republican gubernatorial raceDonald Trump expressed supportformer federal agent CIA backgroundGlenn Youngkin executive orderhistoric inauguration day milestonelocal decision-making frameworkparental curriculum input educationseven-to-one spending advantagetransgender bathroom policies debateVirginia Beach sheriff endorsementsVirginia first female governor electionVirginia Police Benevolent Association endorsement
Danielle Sherman

Danielle Sherman

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